Wednesday, June 25, 2008

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2008 Jun 24 2323 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
16 - 22 June 2008

Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected. Region 999 (S02, L=206, class/area Hsx/020 on 17 June) was the only spotted region on the disk during the summary period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during 16 - 19 June and 22 June.

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to active levels on 16 June. Activity decreased to quiet to unsettled levels during 17 - 19 June. Activity increased to quiet to active levels on 20 June. Activity decreased to mostly quiet levels for the rest of the period. ACE solar wind measurements indicated a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream occurred during the period. Velocities increased through early 17 June with a peak of 784 km/sec detected at 17/0248
UTC, then gradually decreased through 19 June. Another brief increase in velocities occurred from late 19 June into early 20 June with a peak of 613 km/sec detected at 20/1032 UTC. The velocity increase was accompanied by increased IMF Bt (peak 9 nT at 19/2340 UTC), periods of enhanced southward IMF Bz (minimum -8 nT at 20/0222 UTC), and a minor increase in proton densities. Velocities gradually decreased for the rest of the period and reached a minimum of 408 km/sec by the close of the period.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
25 June - 21 July 2008

Solar activity is expected to be very low.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels during 25 June and 13 - 21 July.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during 25 June - 11 July. Activity is expected to increase to active levels during 12 - 13 July due to a recurrent coronal hole high- speed stream. Activity is expected to decrease to unsettled levels during 14 - 17 July as the high-speed stream gradually subsides. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels for the rest of the period.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jun 24 2323 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2008 Jun 24
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2008 Jun 25 65 8 3
2008 Jun 26 65 8 3
2008 Jun 27 65 8 3
2008 Jun 28 65 5 2
2008 Jun 29 65 5 2
2008 Jun 30 65 5 2
2008 Jul 01 65 5 2
2008 Jul 02 65 5 2
2008 Jul 03 65 8 3
2008 Jul 04 65 10 3
2008 Jul 05 65 8 3
2008 Jul 06 65 5 2
2008 Jul 07 65 5 2
2008 Jul 08 65 5 2
2008 Jul 09 65 5 2
2008 Jul 10 65 5 2
2008 Jul 11 65 10 3
2008 Jul 12 65 15 4
2008 Jul 13 65 15 4
2008 Jul 14 65 10 3
2008 Jul 15 65 10 3
2008 Jul 16 65 8 3
2008 Jul 17 65 10 3
2008 Jul 18 65 5 2
2008 Jul 19 65 5 2
2008 Jul 20 65 5 2
2008 Jul 21 65 5 2
(NOAA)